🔥 Commander- in-Chains

Conviction impact on a potential Trump presidency's national security

Good Morning. Throughout the midst of the brutal war between Israel and Hamas, Israel’s only Arab-Jewish women’s choir has stayed together, Jewish magazine Forward reported. The choir, which has existed for 16 years, agreed on two things to stay together-one, that they would not perform publicly as the members, both Arabs and Jews, grieve the realities of war, and two, that the bond between performers and continuing to learn songs was more important than anything else, come what may.

— 🐈‍⬛ Acoustic Kitty

THE BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT

Speeches of Year One, Trump Administration Archive, 2017

The world is fraught with unprecedented conflicts and geopolitical strains, a fact that has, in historic times, called for a strong U.S. Presidential presence to effectively mediate the key strategic alliance interests and diplomatic mediations America’s advanced security construct lends to the Western total calculus held over geopolitics.

However, as the 2024 election year pushes closer to nominations and resolutions, questions have risen over the possibility that the Trump campaign, up for the Republican National Committee nomination, will be reelected. Should Trump be reelected following his conviction of 34 felony counts of business fraud in New York City, there are legal contentions he would be restrained by that could reflect to the operations of U.S. national security interests around the world.

The Boundaries of International Law

Yet, as PolitiFact by Poyntner Institute points out, international law regarding admitting entry to persons convicted of felony crimes may vary depending on the nation. PolitiFact made particular note of Australia's law on the issue, requiring those entering Australia to have "no felony convictions within 12 months of entry", regardless of whether the individual had already served the sentence.

While Trump will appeal his impending sentencing, and legal experts are skeptical that he will serve an incarcerated sentence, the facts of international law may have difficult implications for the future of state visits under a potential second Trump administration. This issue could spell logistics and diplomatic problems, including, for example, the AUKUS defensive trade alliance, which has been nurtured under the current administration as, what President Joe Biden called “an anchor to peace and prosperity”.

Challenges of a Criminally Convicted Commander-in-Chief

If Trump were to win re-election, the legal issues could create unprecedented constitutional challenges, as a sitting president's ongoing criminal prosecution process  raises complex questions about presidential immunity and the balance of power. These disputes fall heavily on conversations about the future of national security and defense programs led by a Commander-in-Chief who will be restricted by the outcome of the legal process.

What It Means For National Defense

A guilty verdict in any of Donald Trump's criminal trials is unlikely to affect his access to intelligence briefings, according to experts. Despite the legal challenges he faces, the decision to provide or deny such briefings lies with current government officials, and there are no specific rules mandating the cessation of briefings for former presidents under indictment or conviction.

Earlier this year, military officials had reportedly expressed fears that a re-elected Trump could abuse the Commander-in-Chief's war powers. The guilty verdict, and potential restrictions on Trump's access to classified documents based on the choices of government officials, could likewise reflect on war powers and making executive decisions that the president is under normal circumstances responsible for.

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INTERNATIONAL SECURITY & DIPLOMACY

Counterterrorism

  • A Russian-Ukrainian national was detained after being injured in an explosion near Paris, with evidence of bomb-making materials found at the scene. French authorities suspect his involvement in a terrorist conspiracy and have opened an investigation.

  • A businessman acquitted of aiding the 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks is resisting extradition to India. He argues that extradition could expose him to mistreatment and unfair trial conditions.

  • The mayor of Türkiye's Hakkari province has been sentenced over connections to the PKK, a designated terrorist group. The court found him guilty of supporting the organization, leading to his removal from office and raising concerns about local governance and security in the region.

Military & Defense

  • The conflict between Hezbollah and Israel is at risk of escalating into a full-scale war. Increased military activities and hostilities on both sides are heightening tensions, with potential regional implications.

  • Project 2025 outlines plans by conservative groups to reshape the Pentagon and U.S. military spending, the political commentary magazine The National wrote. The initiative focuses on reducing the influence of progressive policies within the military and emphasizes enhancing traditional defense priorities and capabilities.The commentary highlighted plans under the project to “funnel more money” to the Pentagon.

  • The new U.S. defense spending bill mandates arms transfers to Israel while eliminating aid for Ukraine. This move reflects shifting priorities in U.S. foreign military assistance, focusing on bolstering Israeli defense capabilities.

Cybersecurity

  • Microsoft's cybersecurity tool, Copilot, along with its AI-powered computer history saver tool Recall, have both faced criticism after a significant recall due to vulnerabilities. The incident highlights the risks and challenges of integrating AI into cybersecurity, prompting concerns over the reliability of such advanced technologies.

  • Chinese state-backed hackers have been engaging in extensive cyber espionage campaigns targeting critical infrastructure worldwide. The attacks have focused on sectors such as telecommunications, transportation, and government agencies, aiming to steal sensitive information and disrupt operations. This increased cyber activity highlights the growing threat posed by nation-state actors in cyberspace.

  • Snowflake customer passwords were discovered online due to info-stealing malware. This breach resulted from malware compromising user credentials and posting them on the internet, raising significant security concerns for the affected users. Snowflake is addressing the issue and advising customers on steps to protect their accounts and mitigate potential risks.

Counterintelligence & Espionage

  • Sophos' Operation Crimson Palace has uncovered multiple clusters of Chinese state-sponsored cyber activity targeting Southeast Asia. These attacks focus on espionage and data theft, with threat actors employing sophisticated techniques to infiltrate networks. The findings highlight the persistent and evolving nature of cyber threats in the region.

  • An Orthodox priest in occupied Ukraine is set to face an espionage trial after a year in detention. Accused of collaborating with Ukrainian forces and providing intelligence, his case highlights the ongoing tensions and complex allegiances within the conflict zone.

  • An investigation has revealed that Moldova's former top general had covert ties with Russian intelligence. This exposure highlights deep-rooted espionage activities and potential threats to national security, emphasizing the ongoing influence and reach of Russian intelligence operations within Moldova.

Transnational Organized Crime

  • Organized crime in Mexico is increasingly seeking control over municipalities, leveraging violence and corruption to influence local governments. Criminal groups aim to secure strategic locations for drug trafficking and other illegal activities, undermining political stability and community safety across various regions.

  • The U.S. is intensifying efforts to combat human smuggling and trafficking in the Northern Triangle (Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador) and Mexico. The strategy includes collaboration with regional governments, enhancing law enforcement capabilities, and targeting criminal networks to disrupt trafficking operations and protect vulnerable populations.

  • Police believe a credit card scam operation is linked to a Romani crime group. This group is suspected of orchestrating a widespread network of fraudulent activities, including stealing and using credit card information. Authorities are investigating to dismantle the criminal organization and mitigate further financial crimes.

SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

NASA/Joel Kowsky

A United Launch Alliance Atlas 5 rocket successfully launched Boeing's Starliner spacecraft for its first piloted test flight. Despite a helium leak in the propulsion system before launch, flight controllers later discovered two additional leaks, disabling six reaction control jets but ensuring the astronauts' safety.

Mission managers had prepared for potential leak issues, and while the troubleshooting dampened the initial excitement, the launch proceeded flawlessly. The Atlas 5 rocket performed perfectly, initiating an eight-day test flight with NASA astronauts Barry "Butch" Wilmore and Sunita Williams onboard.

In other news…

🌙 China's Chang'e-6 mission is set to be the first to collect samples from the far side of the moon. Scheduled for 2024, this mission aims to return lunar material to Earth for the first time since the Soviet Union's Luna missions. The samples will help scientists understand the moon's composition and history, potentially offering new insights into the solar system's early days.

💬 Bluesky and Mastodon users can now communicate with each other through Bridgy Fed, a new integration tool. This development bridges the gap between the two decentralized social networks, enhancing interoperability and user experience across platforms.

🎧️ Stability AI has launched a new sound generator, expanding its suite of AI tools. The generator leverages advanced AI technology to create diverse audio content, opening new possibilities for musicians, content creators, and developers. This innovation marks a significant step in AI-driven audio production, offering users a powerful tool for generating unique sounds.

DEALS & FUNDING

Google had reportedly scaled back its AI ethics oversight, which allowed controversial projects like the "pizza glue" experiment to proceed with less scrutiny. “Pizza Glue” refers to an incident where Google's new AI generated some bizarre suggestions, including using glue on pizza and eating rocks. These odd recommendations highlight the challenges and unpredictability in AI development and the importance of robust oversight to ensure practical and safe AI applications.

Fall Out Post the Pizza Glue Fiasco

The decision came as the company faced internal and external pressures to push forward with innovative yet potentially problematic AI initiatives. The move raises concerns about the balance between innovation and ethical responsibility in AI development, highlighting the ongoing debate within tech companies about the best approach to managing advanced technologies.

In other news…

🤖CrowdStrike shares surged as the company reported strong earnings boosted by its AI-driven cybersecurity solutions. The firm's effective use of artificial intelligence to enhance threat detection and prevention has attracted significant investor interest, leading to a notable increase in its stock value.

🧠 Former OpenAI employees are advocating for stronger protections for AI whistleblowers, citing concerns over the ethical and safety implications of AI technology. They emphasize the need for legal safeguards and transparent reporting mechanisms to ensure accountability and address potential risks associated with AI developments.

🏡 Marc Andreessen argues that efforts to make the internet safer are misguided, as they often lead to overly restrictive "walled gardens" that limit innovation and user freedom. He believes that a focus on open, decentralized platforms would better serve the internet's potential, fostering creativity and protecting individual rights against centralized control and censorship.

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